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Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (10:00 GMT)

 
 
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      11-17-2010, 10:57 AM
EUR/USD

Has further extended weakness off 1.4280 peak, to probe 50% retracement of 1.2643/1.4280 upleg, reaching 1.3446 so far. Break below 60 day MA at 1.3477 confirms negative short term outlook and favors further weakness towards 1.3380, possibly 1.3272, 61.8% level, on a break. Pullback should be limited by 1.3640/65 zone and potential break here to signal recovery, though, clearance of 1.3800 is needed to confirm.

Res: 1.3570, 1.3640, 1.3665, 1.3685
Sup: 1.3446, 1.3400, 1.3380, 1.3332






GBP/USD
Failure to break above 1.6180 has left a lower top ahead of fresh weakness. Break through 1.5951, previous low, has cleared 1.5899, 61.8% of 1.5651/1.6180 upleg, to reach 1.5838 low so far. Negative hourly studies see scope for further decline towards 1.5804, 76.4% retracement, with possible return to 1.5651 higher base. Corrective pullbacks on oversold conditions are for now seen limited by 1.5985.

Res: 1.5951, 1.5985, 1.6025, 1.6050
Sup: 1.5838, 1.5804, 1.5761, 1.5729




USD/JPY
Succession of fresh highs on recovery from 80.24 base, and break through 82.97, 60 day MA, sees scope for further gains. Next targets lay at 83.73/97, 61.8% of 85.92/80.24 decline/05 Nov high, while 82.70 underpins the advance.

Res: 83.58, 83.73, 83.97, 84.08
Sup: 83.00, 82.83, 82.70, 82.32





USD/CHF
Strong rally emerged from narrow consolidation on 15/16 Nov, briefly broke above 0.9969, 01 Nov previous high, setting scope for fresh gains towards 1.0044, 50% retracement of 1.0625/0.9461 downleg. Corrective pullbacks on overbought conditions should be limited by 0.9869/27, to keep immediate bulls in play.


Res: 0.9974, 1.0015, 1.0044, 1.0075
Sup: 0.9869, 0.9827, 0.9795, 0.9761

 
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